KONSUMSI DAN INFLASI INDONESIA
Abstract
Abstract
This study aims to analyze and observes (1) the effect of inflation,
disposable income, interest rates and the previous period consumption to
inflation in Indonesia. (2) the effect of consumption, interest rate and excange
rates and the money supply to Indonesia Inflation. The type of research is
descriptive and associative studies. The type of data that used is documentary
data, the source of data is secondary data sources. data is in the form of time
series from first quarter of 2000 – to fourth quarter of 2010. This study utilize a
simultaneous equation model analysis by means of two stages Least Squared
method (TSLS). Endogenous variable in this study is the consumption and
inflation. While the eksogen variable is the excange rate,money supply,interest
rates disposable income, and previous period consumption. The study yields
conclusion that (1)inflation,disposable income, interest rates and the previous
period consumption have a significant effect on consumtion in Indonesia. In a
way that. If there is a decrease of inflation, disposable income and previous
consumption have increased the consumption in Indonesia will increase.
Conversely, if there is an increasing in consumtion, excange rate (depreciation)
and the money supply while the interest rates go down then it will impact an
increase in inflation in Indonesia. Vice versa if there is a decrease of
consumption, exchange rate (appreciation) and the money supply, while the
interest rates rise it will have an impact on reducing Indonesia inflation.
Keywords: inflation, consumption, disposable income, interest rates and the
consumption of the previous period, exchange rate, and the money supply.
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