ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PRODUKSI, KONSUMSI DAN IMPOR KEDELAI DI INDONESIA

Abstract

This study aims to analyze (1) the effect of land area, the price of local
soybean, seed and fertilizer to soybean production in Indonesia, (2) the effect of
soybean production, soybean import, per capita income, and consumption of soy
previous period to soybean consumption in Indonesia, (3) the effect of per capita
income, the level of the real exchange rate and the price of imported soybean to
soybean import in Indonesia. The data source is a secondary data as well as data
in the form of time series from 1983 to 2012 . Research use simultaneous equation
model analysis in the form of Indirect Least Squares (ILS). The effect of the land
area of soybean and fertilizer have significant effect on soybean production with
regression coefficients 1.26 and 0.84. Local soybean prices and soybean seed does
not have significant impact on soybean production. Soybean production, Soybean
import and consumption of soybean previous period have significant effect on
soybean consumption with regresion coefficients 0.72, 0.85 and 0.34, but per
capita income there is no significant effect on soybean consumption. Per capita
income and the price of imported soybean have significant effect on soybean
import with regression coefficients 0.11 and 226.6. Value of the real exchange
rate of the rupiah against the U.S. dollar there is no significant effect on soybean
import.
Keywords : Soybean Production, Soybean Consumption and Soybean Import.